Bastián González-Bustamante

Bastián González-Bustamante

Post-doctoral Researcher

Leiden University

I am a post-doctoral researcher in Computational Social Science at Leiden University’s Institute of Public Administration, Faculty of Governance and Global Affairs, in the Netherlands. I hold a DPhil (PhD) in Politics from the University of Oxford, UK and previously earned an MA in Political Science and a BA in Public Administration and Government from the Universidad de Chile.

My work bridges the fields of comparative politics, public administration, and computational social science. I build large-scale text-as-data pipelines, deploy AI and machine learning models, and apply causal inference strategies to gain insights into executive politics and elite behaviour. This agenda centres on cabinet reshuffles, ministerial survival, civil service dynamics, and blame-shifting, while also engaging with broader debates on policy agendas, bureaucratic careers, and digital governance.

My recent peer-reviewed articles have appeared in Social Science Computer Review, Public Opinion Quarterly, World Development, Artificial Intelligence and Law, Government and Opposition, among others. I regularly present at IPSA, ECPR, EPSA and COMPTEXT. I am currently working on an NWO-funded project that uses Large Language Models (LLMs) to analyse global investment prospectuses and reveal how governance arrangements shape sustainable finance flows. In parallel, I contribute to COST Action CA22150 on executive-bureaucratic careers and lead the Enlace-Inserción UDP 2025-2026 project “Unpacking the Unpredictable: Using NLP and LLMs to Examine Cabinet Politics and Responses to Stochastic Events in Presidential Democracies.”

In addition to research, I convene the undergraduate course Institutions of Governance and Development at Leiden University College and deliver doctoral lectures on data mining and AI at Universidad Diego Portales.

Interests
  • Comparative politics
  • Ministerial turnover
  • Elites and civil service
  • Machine learning
  • Artificial intelligence
  • Quantitative methods
Education
  • DPhil (PhD) in Politics, 2019-2023

    University of Oxford

  • MA in Political Science, 2010-2013

    Universidad de Chile

  • BA in Government, 2004-2009

    Universidad de Chile

Featured Publications

Peer-reviewed

(2025). Changing Meaning of the Rule of Law. Artificial Intelligence and Law. OnlineFirst.

DOI Preprint Code

(2025). Blame-Shifting in Presidential Systems: Corrective Effect of Ministerial Terminations on Approval. Public Opinion Quarterly. Forthcoming.

Preprint Dataset

(2024). Cabinet Reshuffles and Parliamentary No‑Confidence Motions. Government and Opposition, 59(4), 1274-1288.

DOI Preprint

(2024). Power Hierarchies and Visibility in the News: Exploring Determinants of Politicians’ Presence and Prominence in the Chilean Press (1991-2019). The International Journal of Press/Politics, 29(1), 100-123.

DOI SI-File

Preprints

Works in progress

Projects and Resources

textclass
TextClass Benchmark

LLMs in social sciences

programming
Public-Presentations

Presentations repository

Contact